Here It Comes, The October Surprise


In American political jargon, an October surprise is a news event with the potential to influence the outcome of an election, particularly one for the U.S. presidency. The reference to the month of October is because the date for national elections (as well as many state and local elections) occurs between November 2 and 8, and therefore events that take place in late October have greater potential to influence the decisions of prospective voters.

The surprising thing is that we’re surprised by it every four years whereas perhaps we should expect it. A tight race like this year’s, where the candidates are separated by a few points, increases the likelihood that an unexpected event can shape the election.

Reported by, “According to a highly reliable source, who has first-hand knowledge of private high-level conversations in the Romney camp, said that they planned to release what they hoped would be “a bombshell” that would make Libya and Obama’s foreign policy a major issue in the campaign.”

Reported by, retired General Paul Vallely in an interview said that “President Barack Obama is planning a classic ‘October Surprise’ involving the Mideast;” “…we know the Obama administration is grooming and getting prepared for an October Surprise which we think will be of a military nature probably in the Middle East”

Reported by, “Much of the 2012 politics of the Libya disaster lies in front of us, not behind us. President Obama must seek justice for the slain Americans. Before the election, Obama will identify some of those who participated in the raid that murdered the American ambassador and other brave Americans, and the president must take action to have them killed. Then he must report these actions in such a way that it doesn’t appear to be a campaign event.”

What about this one…
Israel might exploit this ‘politically delicate time’ to bomb Iran’s nuclear sites and force President Obama to join the attack or face defeat at the polls. On the other hand, however should the US appear to be threatened or at risk (e.g. sink an Aircraft Carrier in the Strait of Hormuz), he (Obama) might win support because he is, after all, the Comander in Chief.

There is are some puzzling aspects involving the recent attacks on U.S. embassies in Egypt and Libya. The hysteria that swept through the rioting masses did not seem to make sense at first, not until it became obvious that at least the Libyan attack was preplanned and the film being “protested” was merely an excuse. The Obama Administration stuck to the story that this was a spontaneous eruption of anger. It is now appearing otherwise…

And don’t forget this one…
The economy remains volatile. (understatement)


What do you think could happen this month, planned or otherwise??


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  1. grannyc October 1, 2012 1:01 PM
  2. Phred October 1, 2012 4:24 PM
  3. KaK October 2, 2012 7:36 AM
    • atasteofcreole October 17, 2012 7:25 PM
  4. Texasgirl October 2, 2012 10:12 AM
  5. don October 2, 2012 11:36 AM
    • don October 3, 2012 8:52 PM
      • don October 4, 2012 10:15 AM
  6. don October 3, 2012 5:32 PM
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