I’ve been thinking about this, as parts of the nation (and world) “re-open”, albeit slowly. Is the reality going to be that we all eventually get the Wuhan Virus / COVID-19?
Thank God this virus is not as deadly as original modeling suggested! However, it is VERY contagious. And that’s the problem.
We were all “locked down” from fears that hospitals would be overrun with dying patients due to high mortality rates. So we needed to lessen the contagion curve by isolating from one another while coming to grips with the situation as new data came in. That was logical, given the original modeling and potential unfolding disaster.
As it turned out, it wasn’t “as bad” as forecast in the beginning. That was, and is, great news. But, while some may say that the Wuhan virus isn’t too much deadlier than seasonal flu, the big difference is contagion. The Wuhan virus is very much more contagious than seasonal flu. So, logically, lots more people are, and will be be affected by it. Therefore putting more people at risk than the seasonal flu would.
Well, who is at risk? As we are finding out, it’s primarily those with underlying poor health conditions. Those with weaker immune systems. The elderly. There have been outliers where seemingly healthy and “young” people have died. But for the most part, it’s those who are not so healthy. Again, this is a logical outcome.
ARE WE ALL GOING TO GET IT?
Here’s the thing I’ve been thinking about. Given how contagious it is, and given my opinion that there will be no effective vaccine (more on that in a minute), it seems to me that sooner or later most of us are going to get the Wuhan Virus.
The only way you might be near 100% assured that you wouldn’t get it, is to never be in proximity to another human being for the rest of your life. Obviously that’s not going to happen…
Another obvious observation is this: The higher the population density, the sooner and likelier that you are going to get it. But even those of us who live rural. It seems eventually we will probably get it too. Eventually.
We humans interact. Even with precautions, sooner or later it seems to me that this highly contagious virus is going to get past those defenses. Those masks (many of which don’t work as well as you might think). That one time you rub your itchy nose in the grocery store. All the usual ways that you might have caught the seasonal flu. Just magnify it many times over…
The country, the world, it can’t stay locked down forever. Why? Because we’ll all die / starve to death otherwise. How’s that? Well, put on your thinking cap… If we are not producing, how are we going to survive? We don’t live like we used to way back in the day when most families lived on a farm. No. Today, we can only survive if there’s food and supplies at the grocery stores.
If we remain locked down, production will crash further than it already has – while “the economy” (what’s left of it) follows suit. Long term lock down is just not sustainable. The system isn’t built that way.
Re-opening for business
So for that reason, we are re-opening for business. A bit at a time.
I can guarantee you sure as I’m sitting here that the mainstream media will focus laser sharp on the resulting increase in Wuhan virus cases. It will be hyped up to a frenzy to further frighten the public. I will not get into the “why”, but I think most of you know why.
With that said, there WILL be increase of the Chinese Flu. It’s logical. Unavoidable. This is what I’m wrapping my head around. We must re-open, though we also must realize that many of us are going to eventually get this thing. At least that’s how it seems to me.
What are our choices? Remain locked down, imprisoned, and eventually starve to death from lack of production and income as we descend into 3rd-world poverty? Or to accept that many of us are probably going to eventually get the virus and most all of us will recover, similar to that of the seasonal flu? (Though many of the unhealthy will be vulnerable and die – though there are ways to mitigate that)
What’s the best thing we can do?
This is the reason why I started this blog post while thinking about the reality of our current situation. I just don’t see how we are going to avoid this. Prolong the inevitable, maybe. But total avoidance? Doesn’t seem likely. We might have to face it.
Just applying some reasonable thinking here… while considering the so called flu vaccine that many people get every year. Evidently it’s rare that the flu vaccine strain “guess” is correct for any given upcoming seasonal flu which mutates. Apparently the Chinese flu virus is also a mutating virus. So one wonders how an effective vaccine (that really works) may come about. Therefore, I’m not putting much hope at this time into this solution.
Improve Your Health
In my view, the best thing you (we) can do about the Wuhan flu, the Chinese flu, Covid-19 (whatever you want to call it) is this:
Come to grips that you will probably eventually get it.
Therefore, improve your health as best you can. Why? Because those that it kills are usually the most vulnerable in society. Your immune system will need to fight it off. Although there are hopes for new treatments (not the cure, but treatments) which may alleviate symptoms, your best bet for what you yourself can do is to improve your health.
Look in the mirror. Look inward. Do what you need to do in order to become a healthier human being. Give your immune system a fighting chance by eating better. Most of us could stand to lose some (or a lot) of weight, given the general obesity problem in this country. Exercise. Get off you a$$ and go for a walk. You know what you need to do…
Not sure if this was a bit rambling. But I just don’t see how we are going to avoid this virus over time. It’s here. It’s highly contagious. And we all cannot remain locked down in a bubble. Thankfully it’s apparently not that much deadlier (if at all) than the flu. However it is much more contagious. So more people are going to get it, probably sooner than later. That’s the big difference.
So we need to come to grips with that. And it seems to me the best thing we can do for ourselves is to make the changes necessary to improve our overall health. Only we as individuals know what that is.
Time will tell. We’ll see how this unfolds.
Are we all going to get this eventually?