CDC New Best Estimate Covid Fatality Rate 0.4%

That rate is much lower than the numbers used in the horrifying projections that shaped the government response to the epidemic. Though roughly four times the estimated CFR for seasonal flu.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the current “best estimate” for the fatality rate among Americans with COVID-19 symptoms is 0.4 percent.

The CDC also estimates that 35 percent of people infected by the COVID-19 virus never develop symptoms. Those numbers imply that the virus kills less than 0.3 percent of people infected by it—far lower than the infection fatality rates (IFRs) assumed by the alarming projections that drove the initial government response to the epidemic, including broad business closure and stay-at-home orders.

The CDC estimates that the CFR for COVID-19 falls to 0.05 percent among people younger than 50 and rises to 1.3 percent among people 65 and older. For people in the middle (ages 50–64), the estimated CFR is 0.2 percent.

CDC projections made in March predicted that as many as 1.7 million Americans could die from COVID-19 without intervention. Such projections had a profound impact on policy makers in the United States and around the world.

The apparent Covid-19 survival rate:

99.95% (age 50 and younger)

99.8% (ages 50-64)

98.7% (age 65 and older)