I suggested (awhile ago in one of my pandemic posts) that it would be helpful to compare ALL deaths by ANY cause between two equal sets of time-frame. The average number of deaths BEFORE Covid-19 and those AFTERWARDS. This would shed some helpful statistical light on the subject.
Well, what do you know… someone did just that. In Sweden. This person posted this information in a comment thread somewhere (I can’t remember exactly where). But I had copied the post for basis on a future article (which is this one).
So here’s the info:
“Excess” Deaths in Sweden, Ages 0 to 64 …
I just looked at the mortality figures in Sweden for this year – this is the statistical table that list all deaths by any cause.
I looked at the death figures for this year in the 0-to-65 bracket and also looked at the time frame from when COVID-19 became a big story until roughly today. (Feb 23,2020 through June 6th, 2020 – Weeks 8 through 22).
From 2015-2019, the average number of deaths per year in this time period for people aged 0 to 65 was 1,769.
This year, 1,857 people in this age range have died of any and all causes, including COVID-19, over said 15 weeks.
So there have been an “extra” 88 deaths in Sweden this year (among people 64 and younger).
Now this is 88 deaths in a country of 10.23 million. This is 88 extra deaths that happened over a 15-week period, which averages out to fewer than one extra death per day.
Including all deaths (age 0 to those over 100), There were 4,105 more deaths this year in Sweden than the average annual number from 2015-2019.
As mentioned, a mere 88 of these deaths happened to people under the age of 65.
The other 4,017 happened to those older than the age of 64.
That is, 98 percent of the “extra deaths” in Sweden this year happened among people over the age of 65 (a big chunk was over the age of 80).
Anyway, the greatest pandemic of our time caused 88 extra deaths in Sweden among the age class that is under the age of retirement.
The Spanish Flu this has not been.
This link will get you to 8 different mortality tables for Sweden that compare years 2015-2019 to 2020.
[ Ken adds: Most all of the data and/or reports that I’ve been able to read have indicated that the vast majority of Covid-19 deaths have been the very elderly. ]
This is not to say that the disease has not affected younger. But it does seem pretty clear that the overwhelming vast majority of those who are young, middle aged, and up to ~60ish are not dying from Covid-19. That has been very good news in that particular regard.
Mainstream Covid-19 Fears
I post this today because I notice that the mainstream media has begun to pound the notion recently that we’re in for a 2nd-wave. Given their track record and motivations, I suspect they may be drumming up scare tactics (and I think most of us know why).
They’re leveraging that more people are testing positive (for what, exactly?). Logically, because so many more are being tested, more will test positive. Again, exactly for what? Antibodies? They never mention if any of those positives are actually “sick”.
But it’s the elderly who are dying from Covid-19
Anyway, it is the elderly who need to be protected. And it’s the elderly who need to protect themselves. It is the elderly who should especially refrain from non-essential public outings. The elderly at the nursing home/facilities should be proactively protected. It is they who are vastly more vulnerable. The emphasis should be put upon them, more so (in my opinion) than shutting down main street, so to speak (now that we know more of the comparative data).
Covid-19 is real. It is more contagious than the common influenza. It is more deadly for older people than influenza. However for the vast majority of others, it appears to be hardly more deadly than influenza would be.
Original projections were nightmarish.
I posted numerous articles to get prepared for the potential massive fallout. The predictions were horrifying. I went full-time covering the unfolding situation back then.
Thankfully, deaths were not as severe as those projections (though still very bad for the elderly). Preparations were not in waste. There were lots of shortages to follow, so those who supplied themselves early were better off. Then the lock-down. More shortages.
Now we’re easing out of it. Businesses (those that are still around) are opening to the extent that state governments permit. People have come out of “lockdown” to the extent that their state governments allow…
However I am sensing a renewed push to instill fear. So watch out. Some of these state governors might be thinking about something…
So I thought it timely to point out the information above, regarding Sweden – which reveals where the focus should really be. It sure would be interesting to find out this type of statistic for the US. Why are we not hearing about any of this type of comparative data?
Why is the fear pressure being applied disproportionately to “main street” while seemingly no PSA’s (public service announcements) or mainstream media emphasis/warnings towards the most vulnerable – the very elderly?
I want to see a comparison similar to the Sweden data above, except for the US.
But I have a feeling they don’t want us to know.